Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.079025e-05 0.000037 0.000043 0.000050 0.000058 0.000067 0.000077
2025-03-16 2.258064e-05 0.000030 0.000038 0.000049 0.000061 0.000075 0.000092
2025-03-23 1.739791e-05 0.000025 0.000035 0.000048 0.000064 0.000083 0.000107
2025-03-30 1.348822e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000066 0.000089 0.000119
2025-04-06 1.027562e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000045 0.000066 0.000093 0.000129
2025-04-13 7.463420e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000042 0.000065 0.000094 0.000135
2025-04-20 5.720396e-06 0.000013 0.000023 0.000040 0.000065 0.000098 0.000143
2025-04-27 4.639504e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000067 0.000103 0.000154
2025-05-04 3.876447e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000041 0.000069 0.000110 0.000167
2025-05-11 3.597693e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000075 0.000121 0.000186
2025-05-18 3.065851e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000044 0.000078 0.000128 0.000200
2025-05-25 2.232269e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000041 0.000076 0.000128 0.000204
2025-06-01 1.547220e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000076 0.000131 0.000215
2025-06-08 1.066700e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000039 0.000077 0.000136 0.000227
2025-06-15 7.436442e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000142 0.000241
2025-06-22 4.885766e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000079 0.000147 0.000254
2025-06-29 2.864392e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000035 0.000079 0.000149 0.000263
2025-07-06 1.346062e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000076 0.000148 0.000267
2025-07-13 6.627468e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000076 0.000151 0.000276
2025-07-20 3.562522e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000077 0.000157 0.000291
2025-07-27 1.951616e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000032 0.000080 0.000165 0.000308
2025-08-03 1.568650e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000034 0.000086 0.000178 0.000335
2025-08-10 8.059104e-09 0.000001 0.000009 0.000034 0.000089 0.000187 0.000354